Are Women Catching Up?

 

In 1992, researchers at the University of California, Los Angeles, School of Medicine published an analysis of data indicating that within 65 years, top female and male runners might perform equally well in the 200-m. 

 

1.    Copy and paste the data into Excel:

 

Year

Time (Women)

Time (Men)

1948

24.4

21.1

1952

23.7

20.7

1956

23.4

20.6

1960

24

20.5

1964

23

20.3

1968

22.5

19.83

1972

22.4

20

1976

22.37

20.23

1980

22.03

20.19

1984

21.81

19.8

1988

21.34

19.75

1992

21.81

20.01

1996

22.12

19.32

2000

21.84

20.09

 

2.    Make one Scatter Diagram with both men and women.  (Highlight all 3 columns and then go to the chart wizard, xy(scatter).

3.    Add the trendline for both men and women.  Go to options and forecast forward for 60 years and check Display Equation on Chart.  Adjust the y-axis (right click vertical axis, format axis, scale) and x-axis (right click horizontal axis, format axis, scale) to get a good looking graph.  Print graph.

4.    Calculate the winning time for men and women predicted by the equation for the year 2060.

5.    Does your analysis agree with the UCLA report?  Do you think women and men will actually perform equally in the Olympics in the future?  What is the problem with extending a line so far in the future?